Make Your First Trade (Buy & Sell)
Learn how to place a prediction, follow others, and stay aware of market rules.
👀 Understand What You’re Looking At
When you click into a market, you’ll see:
A clear question being predicted
The available options (usually “Yes” or “No”)
The current prices, reflecting market probability
The End Time — the moment trading closes
🕒 Always check the End Time. Once a market closes, you can’t place or change trades.
This is your window to act — be early, be informed.
As the deadline approaches, a countdown timer will appear — helping you see exactly how much time is left to trade.
You can also click the chart icon to toggle between different views of the option price trend — helpful for spotting shifts over time.
📜 Read the Market Rules Carefully
Before making a trade, always scroll down and read the full Market Description and Rules.
Some markets may have special conditions or clarifications
Details like how a winner is determined matter
Many disputes come from people not reading the rules closely
Think of it like reading the fine print before betting — don’t skip it.
You can also check which phase the market is currently in, expand the full rules for more details, or view/download the rules as a PDF.
🛒 How to Buy & Sell
Placing your prediction is simple:
Click into a market you’re interested in
Choose an outcome ("Yes" or "No")
Enter the amount to be submitted
Confirm the trade — and you're in!
You can stay on top of trade activity, follows, and other updates by clicking the notification icon in the corner.
To sell (exit your position):
Go to your portfolio
Select the position
Choose “Sell” to lock in your current value before settlement
You can also enter the specific market to sell directly. If you hold positions in both outcomes (e.g. “Yes” and “No”), you’ll be able to switch between them on the sell screen.
The earlier you trade, the more room there is for price movement and potential gains.
💬 Say Something, Like, or Follow a Trade
Bayes isn’t just for silent traders — it’s a social market too.
Inside any market:
Click “Say something” to post a comment or insight
Like others' comments to show support or agreement
Click on someone’s Trade Record to quickly follow their trade (same side, same timing)
Prediction becomes more fun when you see how others think — and maybe even smarter.
🧨 What Happens When the Market Ends?
When a market reaches its End Time, trading stops — but the event may not be resolved immediately.
There’s a built-in 2-hour Dispute Window before final settlement.
If you believe the outcome is being misjudged
Or if there’s a lack of clarity or unfair resolution → You can initiate a Dispute
Currently, Bayes Market uses a custom on-chain verification system based on the UMA.
We aim to ensure transparent and fair resolution for every market — backed by decentralized rules, not arbitrary judgment.
✅ Summary
Your first trade isn’t just about guessing right — it’s about understanding how the market works.
Check the End Time
Read the rules
Place your trade with intention
Interact with others or follow interesting strategies
Watch for settlement and disputes to learn the full market lifecycle
Last updated