Welcome to Bayes Market
A next-gen prediction platform where your opinions become tradable — serious or fun, you decide.
👋 What Is Bayes Market?
Bayes Market is a next-generation prediction market platform — a place where you can trade on your beliefs about the future.
Want to bet on who will win the next election?
Predict if Bitcoin will hit $100K?
Or guess whether your favorite celebrity couple will stay together?
At Bayes, you can turn those predictions into trades, and earn rewards if you're right.
Unlike traditional platforms, Bayes Market is:
For everyone — no crypto skills required
Global & culturally diverse — not just US political stuff
User-powered — you can create your own events and markets
Fun & social — feels like a game, powered by real knowledge
Inspired by the Bayesian Way of Thinking At Bayes, we believe the best way to understand the world is to combine everyone’s knowledge and beliefs — just like Bayesian statistics does.
🔍 So What’s a Prediction Market?
Think of it like a stock market for real-world events. Each event has “Yes” or “No” shares — and their price shows the market’s current belief in the outcome.
Example:
“Will Taylor Swift release a new album before January 1, 2026?” If the "Yes" share trades at $0.72, the market thinks there’s a 72% chance it’ll happen.
You can buy shares to express what you believe — and if you're right, you’ll get a payout.
🎮 Play for Fun or Trade for Real
Bayes offers two modes:
🪙 Bayes Points — free play-money you can use to explore, learn, and have fun.
💵 USDC (real money) — for experienced users who want real returns.
You choose your own level. You can switch anytime. → We'll explain more in the next section.
🤝 Who Is Bayes For?
Whether you're:
a curious first-timer
a stats or news nerd
a K-drama fan
or just someone who likes to win arguments...
There’s a place for you on Bayes. You don’t need a wallet. You don’t need crypto. You don’t even need to be “good at math.” You just need a hunch — and a desire to explore what others think.
Bayes isn’t about being right all the time. It’s about learning from others, updating your views, and having fun along the way.
🛫 Ready to Get Started?
In the next step, we’ll show you how to create your account in just a few seconds.
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